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Based on a method developed by Laybourne, Kim and Taylor (2007) for detecting multiple changes in persistence, we test for changes in persistence in the dividend-price ratio of the Nasdaq stocks. The results confirm the existence of the so-called Dotcom bubble around the last turn of the century...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108019
conservatively. Surprisingly, survivor stocks tend to be loser stocks with negative exposure to the momentum factor. Further analyses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888297
Purpose - The present research aims to examine a range of momentum trading strategies for the tourism and hospitality … that none of these momentum investing strategies was profitable. Most of the results, however, show positive, but … insignificant momentum returns. This finding can be interpreted as price reversal over a horizon of three to twelve months in the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330980
A set of multivariate GARCH models is estimated and its empirical validity is compared from the calculation of the Value at Risk. Data used are the daily returns of the nominal exchange rate of the Colombian peso vis-a-vis the American dollar, euro, sterling and Japanese yen for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220508
“anomalies” the theory of rational finance cannot explain: (i) Predictability of asset returns; (ii) The Equity Premium; (iii …In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as … are the only possible explanations of the “anomalies”, but offer statistical models within the rational theory of finance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
We study general undiscounted asset price processes, which are only assumed to be non- negative, adapted and RCLL (but not a priori semimartingales). Traders are allowed to use simple (piecewise constant) strategies. We prove that under a discounting-invariant condition of absence of arbitrage,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134260
We develop tests for deciding whether a large cross‐section of asset prices obey an exact factor structure at the times of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of asset returns with asymptotically increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974659
In this paper we provide new evidence on the predictability of aggregate stock market returns, and new time series of …. Further analysis suggests that the level of predictability found cannot be attributed to data-mining bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128466
existing pure earnings-forecast momentum strategies and remain profitable after transaction costs. We show that analysts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856424