This paper assesses the quantitative impact of ambiguity on historically observed financial asset returns and growth rates. The single agent, in a dynamic exchange economy, treats the conditional uncertainty about the consumption and dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's...

Abstract Using recently proposed estimators of the variation of positive and negative returns (“realized semivariances”), and high frequency data for the S&P 500 index and 105 individual stocks, this paper sheds new light on the predictability of equity price volatility. We show that future...

Building models for high dimensional portfolios is important in risk management and asset allocation. Here we propose a novel and fast way of estimating models of time-varying covariances that overcome an undiagnosed incidental parameter problem which has troubled existing methods when applied...