Showing 11 - 20 of 911,893
When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on … stochastic volatility. Estimation of the model delivers measures of daily variation outperforming their non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
This paper contributes to the productivity literature by using results from firm-level productivity studies to improve forecasts of macro-level productivity growth. The paper employs current research methods on estimating firm-level productivity to build times-series components that capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378362
This paper contributes to the productivity literature by using results from firm-level productivity studies to improve forecasts of macro-level productivity growth. The paper employs current research methods on estimating firm-level productivity to build times-series components that capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976846
suggested by new growth theory, while addressing the variable selection problem by means of Bayesian model averaging …. Controlling for variable selection uncertainty, we confirm the evidence in favor of new growth theory presented in several earlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382708
This paper extends the Bayesian semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV-DPM) model of Jensen and Maheu (2010). Instead …). This allows for time variation in the return density beyond that attributed to parametric latent volatility. The new model … model improves density forecasts, compared to the SV-DPM, a stochastic volatility with Student-t innovations and other fat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295177
measures, resulting from the new model, can be used to implemennt joint risk scenario analysis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314068
In this paper, we extend the standard Gaussian stochastic-volatility Bayesian VAR by employing the generalized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015084442
historical stochastic volatility and equity risk premium series display pronounced countercyclical fluctuations …We develop a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for estimating risk premia in dynamic stochastic general … equilibrium (DSGE) models with stochastic volatility. Our approach is fully Bayesian and employs an affine solution strategy that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847324
risk and return of two pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit arbitrage one … uncertainty with risk and return of stock trading. In terms of methodology, we show the effect that using an encompassing prior … better results in terms of profit per capital engagement and risk than using a standard linear normalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056713
This note presents a nonparametric Bayesian approach to fitting a distribution to the survey data provided in Kilian and Zha (2002) regarding the prior for the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP). A point mass at infinity is included. The unknown density is represented as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403123