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A Bayesian semi-parametric estimation of the binary response model using Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms is proposed. The performances of the parametric and semi-parametric models are presented. The mean squared errors, receiver operating characteristic curve, and the marginal effect are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938425
incorporates stochastic volatility, long-run risks in consumption and dividends, and Epstein-Zin preferences. Utilizing Bayesian …-term real risk-free interest rate, real consumption growth, and real dividend growth. Our results indicate that, over short and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094186
We develop a new model where the dynamic structure of the asset price, after the fundamental value is removed, is subject to two different regimes. One regime reflects the normal period where the asset price divided by the dividend is assumed to follow a mean-reverting process around a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973479
We develop a new model where the dynamic structure of the asset price, after the fundamental value is removed, is subject to two different regimes. One regime reflects the normal period where the asset price divided by the dividend is assumed to follow a mean-reverting process around a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781855
general class of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models, characterized by both a leverage effect and jumps in returns … provides a feasible basis for undertaking the nontrivial task of model comparison. Furthermore, we introduce new volatility … model, namely SV-GARCH which attempts to bridge the gap between GARCH and stochastic volatility specifications. In nesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014185810
We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888693
A Bayesian analysis is presented of a time series which is the sum of a stationary component with a smooth spectral density and a deterministic component consisting of a linear combination of a trend and periodic terms. The periodic terms may have known or unknown frequencies. The advantage of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014029563
and has important implications for risk management, volatility forecasting and option pricing …The paper proposes a self-exciting asset pricing model that takes into account co-jumps between prices and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066907
Aiming at financial applications, we study the problem of learning the volatility under market microstructure noise … the volatility function a priori as piecewise constant. Its prior is specified via the inverse Gamma Markov chain …. Sampling from the posterior is accomplished by incorporating the Forward Filtering Backward Simulation algorithm in the Gibbs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113947
. This model is applied to the time series of daily realized volatility of some indices, and is compared to similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089716