We study the implications of predictability on the optimal asset allocation of ambiguity-averse long-term investors and analyze the term structure of the multivariate risk-return trade-off considering parameter uncertainty. We calibrate the model to real returns of US stocks, long-term bonds,...

The paper investigates the importance of inflation-linked annuities to individuals facing inflation risk. Given the investment opportunities in nominal, real, and variable annuities, as well as cash and stocks, we investigate the consumption and investment decisions under two different objective...

Empirical evidence shows that diversified banks (i.e. financial conglomerates) trade at a discount compared to a matched portfolio of specialized stand-alone banks. While one strand of research explains this puzzle primarily with inefficiencies in the cash flow management, we analyze whether...

This paper argues that the relation between financial analysts' earnings forecast accuracy and their recommendation profitability has to be augmented by the extent of commonality in their forecast errors. We show that while accuracy is positively related to expected performance, the correlation...

We analyze the interdependence between the government yield spread and stock returns of the banking sector in Italy during the years 2003-2015. In a first step, we find that after September 2008 the Spearman's rank correlation between the yield spread and the Italian banking system changed...

We propose an equilibrium model of asset prices in which agents learn about the mean and the volatility of the endowment process and differ in their concerns about parameter uncertainty. We show that, in equilibrium, following unexpected bad and good news about economic outcomes (i) uncertainty...

We study the relationship between coskewness and realized returns of United States banks between 2003 and 2020 by analyzing different subperiods. We find that during the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 and the COVID-19 pandemic of February-December 2020 the returns earned by banks are...