Between September 6, 2011, and January 15, 2015, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) enforced a lower bound of 1.20 on the CHF/EUR exchange rate. In this paper, we view the SNB's commitment to this lower bound as a put option and use a latent likelihood estimation approach to infer (a) where the...

We develop a simulation algorithm that generates multivariate samples with exact means, covariances, and multivariate skewness. If required for financial applications, absence of arbitrage can be ensured. Potential applications include the simulation of risk factors for the risk management of...

For most events, risk-neutral outcome probabilities are identical across numeraire currencies. Some events, however, such as elections or referendums, may have an impact on exchange rates. This implies numeraire dependence in risk-neutral outcome probabilities, which leads to different state...