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Technical analysis is the study for forecasting future asset prices with past data. In this survey, we review and extend studies on not only the time-series predictive power of technical indicators on the aggregated stock market and various portfolios, but also the cross-sectional predictability...
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When inflation originates from distributional conflicts, shifts in inflation expectations, or energy price shocks, monetary policy (MP) is a costly stabilization instrument. We show that a tax on inflation policy (TIP), which would require firms to pay a tax proportional to the increase in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058866
Recent failures of US banks highlight that large liability withdrawals can damage capital positions-i.e., that liquidity risk and solvency risk interact. A simple risk assessment for banks in a wide group of countries finds sizable exposure to this interaction. This varies significantly across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059061
In the past decade, fintech has shaken up the financial sector in Latin America providing innovations in lending, payments, insurance, and regulation and compliance. This paper examines this development by focusing on both fintech services and regulation. Exploring fintech's macro-critical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059586
Inflation has been rising during the pandemic against supply chain disruptions and a multi-year boom in global owner-occupied house prices. We present some stylized facts pointing to house prices as a leading indicator of headline inflation in the U.S. and eight other major economies with...
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The COVID-19 pandemic placed many challenges to everyone in terms of wellbeing and economic activities. As for banking and finance, while many rely on re-calibration of probability of default models to adapt own portfolio to the latest reality, it is worthwhile to bring to reader's attention...
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