Previous experiences significantly influence subsequent behavior. However, little is known about how experiences from ambiguous situations shape decision makers' subsequent ambiguity attitudes. We investigate this experimentally in an investment task that involves assets characterized by...

This paper explores three aspects of strategic uncertainty: its relation to risk, predictability of behavior and subjective beliefs of players. In a laboratory experiment we measure subjects' certainty equivalents for three coordination games and one lottery. Behavior in coordination games is...

I study the implications of Abraham Wald's (1947) complete class theorem for decision making under Knightian uncertainty (or ambiguity). Suppose we call someone who uses Wald's approach to statistical decision making a Waldian. A Waldian may then have preferences over acts that are not in...

A decision-maker is said to have an ambiguous belief if it is not precise enough to be represented by a single probability distribution. The pervasive assumption in game theoretic models in economics is that players' beliefs are unambiguous. This paper argues, drawing on examples from economics...

Ambiguity averse decision-makers can behave in financial portfolio problems in ways that cannot be rationalized as subjective expected utility maximization. Indeed, [Dow and da Costa Werlang, Econometrica 1992] show that an ambiguity-averse decision-maker might abstain from trading an asset for...

By its critics, the rational choice model is routinely accused of being unrealistic. One key objection has it that, for all nontrivial problems, calculating the best response is cognitively way too taxing, given the severe cognitive limitations of the human mind. If one confines the analysis to...

Accounting for ambiguity aversion in dynamic decisions generally implies that either dynamic consistency or consequentialism must be given up. To gain insight into which of these principles better describes people's preferences we tested them using a variation of Ellsberg's three-color urn...

Strausz (2017) claims that crowdfunding implements the optimal mechanism design outcome in an environment with entrepreneurial moral hazard and private cost information. Unfortunately, his analysis, solution and claim depend critically on imposing an untenable condition (29) that he had...

This paper studies how updating affects ambiguity-attitude. In particular we focus on the generalized Bayesian update of the Jaffray-Phillipe sub-class of Choquet Expected Utility preferences. We find conditions for ambiguity-attitude to be the same before and after updating. A necessary and...

This paper explores three aspects of strategic uncertainty: its relation to risk, predictability of behavior and subjective beliefs of players. In a laboratory experiment, we measure subjects' certainty equivalents for three coordination games and one lottery. Behavior in coordination games is...