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In this paper, we analyze the consequences of taking noise into account in a simple two person fishery management game. Both a stochastic and deterministic formulation are considered. Compared to the noise-free model it is shown that the used stochastic framework has no implications for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065512
In this paper, we characterize adversarial decision-making as a choice between competing interpretations of evidence ("models") constructed by interested parties. We show that if a court cannot perfectly determine which party's model is more likely to have generated the evidence, then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973651
I investigate the existence of epistemic models for complete information games that satisfy the following properties: (R) players do not rule out their opponents use rational ex ante strategies for deriving their choices, (K) they do not rule out, ex ante, that they can come to know the action...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707988
Predictions under common knowledge of payoffs may differ from those under arbitrarily, but finitely, many orders of mutual knowledge; Rubinstein's (1989)Email game is a seminal example. Weinstein and Yildiz (2007) showed that the discontinuity in the example generalizes: for all types with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159030
We analyze a two-stage game of strategic firms facing uncertain demand and exerting market power in decentralized electricity markets. These firms choose their generation capacities at the first stage while anticipating a perfectly competitive future electricity spot market outcome at the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077349
We consider a nonatomic game whose players have ambiguities over external factors. On top of a player $i$'s own action $a$ and the joint distribution $\delta$ of other players' identities and actions, also influencing the player's return $r$ is a state of the world $\omega$. Knowledge about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293407
We consider games where an analyst is not confident about players' true information structure for payoff-relevant parameters. We define a robust prediction by a set of action profiles such that, given any information structure among the players, there is a Bayesian Nash equilibrium given that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293638
We study the role of uncertainty in the evolution of conventions in coordination games when agents are myopic best responders. We introduce uncertainty of the choice environment by means of an ergodic Markov process ruling the switching across a collection of 2-player symmetric coordination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260903
A decision-maker solicits information from two partially informed experts and then makes a choice under uncertainty. The experts can be either moderately or extremely biased relative to the decision-maker, which is their private information. I investigate the incentives of the experts to share...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093182
Riedel and Sass (2013) study complete information normal form games in which ambiguity averse players use ambiguous randomization strategies, in addition to pure and mixed strategies. The solution concept they propose, the Ellsberg equilibrium, is a coarsening of the classical Nash equilibrium....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435989