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This paper demonstrates that well-established biases in decision making under uncertainty can generate poverty traps. A theoretical framework is developed to demonstrate that: i) probability weighting and ambiguity attitude can lead individuals to erroneously undervalue profitable investments,...
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scenarios. Insurance companies carry the risk of losses in exchange for a premium, which depends on the loss distribution …. Another example where risk is exchanged for a fixed price is swap contracts. Electricity futures can be seen as swaps where …: the average value-at-risk and power distortion principle. In the second part of this thesis, we bring together insurance …
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We provide an economic valuation of the riskiness of risk models. We estimate the impact of model risks (estimation and … specification) on VaR estimates. We find that integrating the model risk into the VaR computations implies a substantial correction … relies on a backtesting framework, for integrating the global model risk into VaR estimates …
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reduction (self-protection) so that correlation becomes endogenous. If prevention concerns only one risk, introducing a second … exogenous risk increases the level of prevention expenditures, even if correlation is negative. If prevention expenditures may … increased dependence increases aggregate prevention expenditures, but not necessarily prevention expenditures for each risk due …
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