We study the dynamics of the one-year change in P&C insurance reserves estimation by analyzing the process that leads to the ultimate risk in the case of “fixed-sum” insurance contracts. The random variable ultimately is supposed to follow a binomial distribution. We compute explicitly...

European legislation for the prudential regulation of insurance and reinsurance sector has existed since the 1970s, gradually materialized in Directive 92/49/EEC and Directive 2002/83/EC, both known as Solvency I. Due to economic and political development the regime become insufficient and...