The goal of this paper was to exploit the Bayesian approach and MCMC procedures to structure an internal model to quantify the reserve risk of a non-life insurer under Solvency II regulation. To this aim, we provide an extension of the Correlated Chain Ladder (CCL) model to the one-year time...

Prices of contracts with risky aspects are typically linked to specific uncertainties and probabilities of adverse scenarios. Insurance companies carry the risk of losses in exchange for a premium, which depends on the loss distribution. Another example where risk is exchanged for a fixed price...

In this paper, we study a generalised CIR process with externally-exciting and self-exciting jumps, and focus on the distributional properties and applications of this process and its aggregated process. The aim of the paper is to introduce a more general process that includes many models in the...