implement and the agents' prior beliefs about the technologies. The optimal policy can be maximally or partially revealing, or …

How do parties choose issues to emphasize in campaigns, and when does electoral competition force parties to address … salient issues. We write a model of multiparty competition with endogenous issue salience, where, in equilibrium, parties …

This paper experimentally explores people's beliefs behind the failure of backward induction in the centipede games. I … elicit players' beliefs about opponents' strategies and 1st-order beliefs. I find that subjects maximize their monetary … payoffs according to their stated beliefs less frequently in the Baseline Centipede treatment where an efficient non …

We experimentally study settings where an individual may have an incentive to adopt negative beliefs about another … engaging in “strategic cynicism,” convincing themselves of the opponent’s ill intentions. We elicit incentivized beliefs both … from players with such an incentive and from neutral third parties with no incentive to bias their beliefs. We find no …

We experimentally study settings where an individual may have an incentive to adopt negative beliefs about another … engaging in “strategic cynicism,” convincing themselves of the opponent's ill intentions. We elicit incentivized beliefs both … from players with such an incentive and from neutral third parties with no incentive to bias their beliefs. We find no …

We discuss recent work on bounded rationality and learning in relation to Soros' principle of reflexivity and stress … trend-following rule, based upon their relative performance. We also discuss learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments …

can be incorporated into a standard utility framework, and demonstrate the potential interaction of beliefs and utility …