A central result in the rational learning literature is that if the true measure is absolutely continuous with respect … to the beliefs then, given enough data, the updated beliefs merge with the true distribution. In this paper, we show that …

experiment compares one-shot and indefinite horizon versions of random-proposer majority bargaining (the Baron-Ferejohn game …

beliefs are aggregated to make a decision. In this paper, we argue that the need for aggregation creates different incentives … for belief updates in private and political choice. We review contemporary theories of biased beliefs in politics … analysis, we construct an evolutionary model including a coordination failure. Differences in learning dynamics make the …

, questions related to institutional design and performance, issues in international relations, and electoral competition. In our …

-specific beliefs about the causes of low and high incomes. Our theory predicts that target-specific beliefs about the poor matter most … for preferences about transfers to the poor, and target-specific beliefs about the rich matter most for preferences about …