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elicitation plays in the experiment affects both the contribution behavior and beliefs, and (2) framing influences stated beliefs …We analyze first-order beliefs in a variation of the Public Good Game. We show that (1) the role that belief … initial beliefs, and provide an empirical model of the belief up-dating process. Subjects use the past experience, stressing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572324
randomized survey experiment conducted in Argentina. Results show that providing information to citizens matters for shaping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992104
acquisition, and subsequent belief formation, depends crucially on the agent-specific status quo valuation. Beliefs can … systematically update away from the realized truth and even agents with the same initial beliefs might become polarized. We design a … laboratory experiment to test the model’s predictions; the results confirm our predictions about the mechanism (rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241354
We empirically assess whether hindsight bias has consequences on how citizens evaluate their political actors. Using an incentivized elicitation technique, we demonstrate that people systematically misremember their past policy preferences regarding how to best fight the Covid-19 pandemic. At...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205089
at a roughly constant rate, an agent who frequently updates beliefs distorts them by dividing what should be one signal … making a judgment, but an agent with a symmetric loss function should update beliefs early and often. Unlike the classical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989419
presence of stubborn agents in the network and produces long-run effects on the agents learning process. The distortion induced … by stubborn agents in social learning depends on the “updating centrality”, a novel centrality measure that identifies … the key agents of a social learning process, and generalizes the Katz-Bonacich measure. Conversely, temporary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890347
When different stages of the evaluation of a multi-attribute project rest with conflicting economic actors, which attributes are selectively explored and why? We provide a model of attribute sampling in which correlation across attributes is flexibly modeled through Gaussian processes. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847347
Using a randomized information experiment embedded in a representative survey, we study households' economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015205429