We exploit a quasi-experimental setting provided by an election day with multiple polls to estimate the effect of voters' turnout on the spread of new COVID-19 infections and to quantify the policy trade-off implied by postponing elections during high infection periods. We show that post-poll...

During 2021, most Latin American countries successfully deployed vaccines and their labor markets began to recover from the COVID-19 slump. Using two waves of the 2021 HFPS, we investigate the connection between immunization and employment recovery. We first show the highly uneven social impact...

Accountable care organizations (ACOs) were the cornerstone of the novel payment strategies for Medicare reform under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The ACO initiative was intended as an experiment in health policy, and according to recent findings, the experiment so far has failed to produce...

The U.S. tuberculosis movement pioneered many of the strategies of modern public health campaigns. Dedicated to eradicating a specific disease, it was spearheaded by voluntary associations and supported by the sale of Christmas seals. Although remarkable in its scope and intensity, the...

Viruses are a major threat to human health, and - given that they spread through social interactions - represent a costly externality. This paper addresses three main issues: i) what are the unintended consequences of economic activity on the spread of infections? ii) how efficient are measures...

Costa Rica's health policy has been widely recognized for its favorable outcomes at relatively low costs. While the general characteristics and outcome of its universal health care system have been described previously, in-depth analyses of the health policy process are scarce. This study, that...

The most hazardous health reform measure before Congress is not the so-called "public option," but proposals to make health insurance compulsory via an individual or employer mandate.Compulsory health insurance could require nearly 100 million Americans to switch to a more expensive health plan...

When estimating the effects of treatments defined by complex formulas, researchers often use simple functions of exogenous shocks as instruments. A leading example is "simulated instruments" for public policy eligibility, which capture variation in state-level policy generosity. We show how more...

Hepatitis C is a major public health concern due to its high rates of infection and mortality. Recent breakthroughs in pharmaceuticals not only have the potential to cure hepatitis C but could also cause large positive health externalities through reduced transmission. The high cost of these...

Governments and firms often employ soft spending limits to restrict overspending while still allowing exceptions on a case-by-case basis. This paper studies a Medicare policy which capped per-patient physical therapy spending, with exceptions for patients with documented medical need. The cap...