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: domestic, external, and institutional factors. In addition, I consider the connection between volatility and bond yield spreads …. Volatility, and central bank transparency, are two factors common to all countries examined whereas clear idiosyncrasies are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788394
Nowadays, volatility of crude oil price is one of the important developments which are followed by experts with care … this amount is imported. The aim of the study is investigate whether the series of crude oil price shows volatility, if it … shows the structure, size and continuity of volatility. Besides, for these economical variables, best intervention model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788409
Modern economies are characterized by endemic financial crisis, a good performance of the financial systems requiring the guarantee of the deposits and the regulating authority of the central bank. The current economic and financial crisis has as real causes the increase in the prices of certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631625
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008634614
particularly interested in volatility modelling and forecasting given their importance for FOREX dealers. Compared with previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636400
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Trend and volatility are estimated jointly with the maximum likelihood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636497
The stock market is widely viewed as being more volatile these days. This paper examines that perception using data from the past 40 years. It finds surprising consistency across years in the number of days the market closes up and down. In an average year the market closes down 47% of all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008641381
estimates of volatility, we present an application dealing with Value-at-Risk (VaR) prediction at different sampling frequencies … factor in the portfolio volatility equation from the estimated vector IMA(1,1) model of squared returns. Empirical results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642228
volatility in real per capita GDP growth. It incorporates 97 countries and 2404 observations. It also employs a system GMM … that regional free trade agreements will not increase volatility in most cases, and may actually lower it. In only one out … of the seven agreements explored is volatility larger after the implementation of the agreement. Furthermore, the role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642417
The paper carries out a deep case study of the international aid that Equatorial Guinea receives. This is an extremely interesting country because, not being a failed state, it presents very low indexes in institutional quality. Its oil richness, which began to be exploited by foreign investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642665