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We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run productivity growth and (ii) a rise in the variance of productivity growth. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642883
We analyze the determinants of daily futures price volatility in corn, soybeans, wheat, and oats markets from 1986 to … that allows us to clearly distinguish among time-to-delivery effects, seasonality, calendar trend, and volatility … persistence. We find strong evidence of time-to-delivery (Samuelson) effects and systematic seasonal components with volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008643478
Although the literature on aid effectiveness is vast, most of it is based on cross-country studies and does not address the Mediterranean countries as a especial group. To fill this gap, this paper describes the main structural characteristics of overseas development assistance (ODA). ODA is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646775
increasing it only cautiously. Volatility in domestic investment can to an extent be moderated by a buffer of international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008670348
The volatility of unanticipated output growth in income per capita is detrimental to long-run development … effect is significant and robust over awide range of specifications. We unravel the effects of volatility by opening the …, physical and institutional barriers to trade and associated policy shocks increase volatility sharply and harm growth through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008670354
doing this in the short run. Foreign asset accumulation should be used primarily to smooth volatility, rather than to build …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008670356
Cross-country evidence is presented on resource dependence and the link between volatility and growth. First, growth … depends negatively on volatility of unanticipated output growth independent of initial income per capita, the average … growth. Second, the adverse effect of resources on growth operates primarily through higher volatility. The positive effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008670359
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008670367
volatility channel may lead one to erroneously conclude that there is no effect of resources on growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008670380
rotation data set for the period 1979:1-2003:4, we find that the volatility of aggregate skilled hours relative to the … volatility of GDP has nearly tripled since 1984. In contrast, the cyclical properties of unskilled hours have remained … to an increase in the relative volatility of skilled hours: (i) a reduction in the degree of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671541