Confidence intervals and tests for the location parameter are considered for time series generated by FEXP models. Since these tests mainly depend on the unknown fractional differencing parameter d, the distribution of d plays a major role. An exact closed form expression for the asymptotic...

Pricing of cap insurance contracts is considered for political mortgage rates. A simple stochastic process for mortgage rates is proposed. The process is based on renewal processes for modelling the length of periods with downward and upward trend respectively. Prices are calculated by...

This paper puts focus on the hazard function of inter-trade durations to characterize the intraday trading process. It sheds light on the time varying trade intensity and, thus, on the liquidity of an asset and the informations channels which propagate price signals among asymmetrically informed...

The problem of predicting 0-1-events is considered under general conditions, including stationary processes with short and long memory as well as processes with changing distribution patterns. Nonparametric estimates of the probability function and prediction intervals are obtained.

In a continuous time, arbitrage free, non-complete market with a zero bond, we find the intertemporal price for risk to equal the standard deviation of the discounted variance opti- mal martingale measure divided by the zero bond price. We show the Hedging Numeraire to equal the Market Portfolio...

Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estima- tion of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...

Der Gesetzgeber laesst im Handelsgesetzbuch (HGB) zahlreiche mathematisch-statistische Stichprobenverfahren zur Inventur zu. Die dort vorgeschriebenen Richtlinien finden auch in anderen Sparten der Wirtschaftsprüfung bei statistischen Hochrechnungen Verwendung. Eigentuemliche Vorstellungen...