This paper explores three aspects of strategic uncertainty: its relation to risk, predictability of behavior and subjective beliefs of players. In a laboratory experiment we measure subjects ̕certainty equivalents for three coordination games and one lottery. Behavior in coordination games is...

Empirical evidence suggests that even those firms presumably most in need of monitoring-intensive financing (young, small, and innovative firms) have a multitude of bank lenders, where one may be special in the sense of relationship lending. However, theory does not tell us a lot about the...

Empirical evidence suggests that even those firms presumably most in need of monitoring-intensive financing (young, small, and innovative firms) have a multitude of bank lenders, where one may be special in the sense of relationship lending. However, theory does not tell us a lot about the...

We present an experiment in which extrinsic information (signals) may generate sunspot equilibria. The underlying coordination game has a unique symmetric non-sunspot equilibrium, which is also risk-dominant. Other equilibria can be ordered according to risk dominance. We introduce salient but...

Speculative Attacks can be modelled as a coordination game with multiple equilibria if the state of the economy is common knowledge. With private information there is a unique equilibrium. This raises the question whether public information may be destabilizing by allowing for self-fulfilling...

This paper reconsiders the principal's problem of determining the optimal combination of risk taking and information dissemination, when threatened with a coordinated speculative attack on the fixed exchange rate by traders, respectively a coordinated withdrawal of credits by a group of lenders....

Dieses Buch zeigt, wie Modelle, in denen die endogenen Variablen von Erwartungen über diese Variablen abhängen, durch Annahmen an die Informationen der Marktteilnehmer geschlossen werden können. Dazu wird ein Rahmenmodell entwickelt, welches nichtkooperative Spiele als Spezialfall...