Showing 41 - 50 of 99,707
Optimism-bias is inconsistent with the independence of decision weights and payoffs found in models of choice under … optimistically biased, we propose an alternative model of risky choice, affective decision-making, where decision weights - which we … label affective or perceived risk - are endogenized. Affective decision making (ADM) is a strategic model of choice under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014196549
In this paper, I examine the decision-theoretic status of risk attitudes. I start by providing evidence showing that … the risk attitude concepts do not play a major role in the axiomatic analysis of the classic models of decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967863
This paper considers the effects of changes in risk on optimal decisions under risk in an analytical framework assuming only utility-representable preferences that is capable of replicating and extending important results obtained in the EU framework and is yet far more descriptive and no less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910217
This paper focuses on information acquisition and individual decision making in ambiguous situations and presents a …, subjects can reduce or even eliminate the ambiguity and turn the decision situation into one of risk. Under the assumption that … an ambiguity averse subject should reduce ambiguity within a decision process we predicted that these subjects would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073252
So far, "salience theory of choice under risk" has been mainly applied to situations of risk rather than to those of uncertainty. In this paper, we show that salience theory provides the prediction that Allais paradoxes should never occur in the context of uncertainty. A finding which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919995
The alpha-maxmin model is a prominent example of preferences under Knightian uncertainty as it allows to distinguish ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. These preferences are dynamically inconsistent for nontrivial versions of α. In this paper, we derive a recursive, dynamically consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892184
to pass the two most prominent litmus tests for descriptive decision theories under risk: the Allais paradox and the St …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861547
We present a novel descriptive model of choice that achieves an efficient representation anchored to how the brain represents value. An individual's behavior is fully described by two primitives: an individual's "reward expectation'' and a free parameter we call "predisposition''. We demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855499
Prior research suggests that those who rely on intuition rather than effortful reasoning when making decisions are less averse to risk and ambiguity. The evidence is largely correlational, however, leaving open the question of the direction of causality. In this paper, we present experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010200793
The standard, Bayesian account of rational belief and decision is often argued to be unable to cope properly with … replace it as a guide for rational decision making. It defends a recent proposal, which reserves a role for the decision maker … main fronts typically evoked as relevant for rational belief and decision. It fares particularly well, we argue, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111149