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behavioural models suggested by psychology (i.e., weighted probabilities applied to regret and rejoice theory), and by updating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011703316
We study the problem of elicitation of subjective beliefs of an agent when the beliefs are ambiguous (the set of beliefs is a non-singleton set) and the agent's preference exhibits ambiguity aversion; in particular, as represented by alpha-maxmin preferences. We construct a direct revelation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969749
This chapter provides a critical review of the theories of decision making under risk and under uncertainty and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025531
The threshold approach to medical decision-making, in which treatment decisions are made based on whether the …) and (Pauker and Kassirer, N Engl J Med 302:1109-1116, 1980). This study generalizes the threshold approach using regret … theory. Regret theory is one of the established alternatives to expected utility theory (EUT), and partly overcomes the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011896508
This paper discusses models of choice under imprecise objective probabilistic information featuring beliefs about beliefs -- second order beliefs. A new model, called Second Order Dual Expected Utility (SODEU) featuring non-additive second order beliefs is introduced, axiomatized and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674093
The results of an experiment extending Ellsberg's setup demonstrate that attitudes towards ambiguity and compound uncertainty are closely related. However, this association is much stronger when the second layer of uncertainty is subjective than when it is objective. Provided that the compound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457763
(subjective) probabilities weight multiplicatively the utilities of the alternatives offered to the decision maker, although … evidence suggest that probability weights and utilities are often not separable in the mind of the decision maker. In this … context, we introduce a simple and efficient framework on how to describe the inherently probabilistic human decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219210
We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our experiments are implemented in the laboratory with a student population, and pushed out through a large-scale panel to a general sample of the US population. We find that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126236
We propose a class of multiple-prior representations of preferences under ambiguity where the belief the decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064758
Many decision situations involve two or more of the following divergences from subjective expected utility: imprecision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120578