The detrended implied volatility of commodity options (VOL) forecasts the cross section of the commodity futures returns significantly. A zero-cost strategy that is long in low VOL and short in high VOL commodities yields an annualized return of 12.66% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.69. Notably, the...

In this paper we discuss how our insight into the grounds of existence of futures markets has changed. We discuss futures market research within agricultural marketing, on the one hand, and within finance, on the other hand. The research within these two disciplines may be considered...

The aim of this paper is to investigate the lead-leg relationships between non-precious metals – nickel and zinc on Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) and agricultural commodities - pepper and soybean on National Commodities & Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) using Johansen's co-integration test, VECM...

This article revisits a number of empirical relationships in the oil and commodity index futures markets. For example, the article examines how to put roll yields in proper perspective, which is that they are most properly seen as predictive of future returns over sufficiently long timeframes....

In late 2014-early 2015, retail and wholesale trade, the one of the biggest sector of Russian economy , longer than others ‘put up resistance' to the negative macroeconomic trends and showed an increase, however small, in commodity turnover. Meanwhile, in the autumn of 2015, in spite of a...

This research studies determinants of silver futures price volatility in Thailand Futures Exchange using generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model. The sample data consist of daily closing price, volume, and open interest of silver futures from the period June 21, 2011 to...