This paper presents a personal view of the interaction between the analysis of choice under uncertainty and the analysis of production under uncertainty. Interest in the foundations of the theory of choice under uncertainty were stimulated by applications of expected utility theory such as the...

Claims that the Australian economy has experienced a 'productivity miracle' have been made with increasing frequency and confidence since the late 1990s. Krugman (1998), in his discussion of the Asian financial crisis, described Australia as the miracle economy of the financial crisis. Similar...

In this paper we derive a set of conditions that is both necessary and sufficient for the consistency of QALY based decision making with life-cycle preferences over consumption and health status. Cost benefit analysis is always consistent with life-cycle preferences over consumption and health...

Insurance contracts are frequently modelled as principal–agent relationships. The purpose of this paper is to examine the interaction between differential bargaining power and the efficiency of insurance contracts. The analysis is undertaken in a framework of state-contingent production, which...

The problem of asset price bubbles, and more generally of instability in the financial system, has been a matter of concern since the 1980s but has only recently moved to the center of the macroeconomic policy debate. The main concern with bubbles arises when they burst, imposing losses on...

Climate risk represents an increasing threat to poor and vulnerable farmers in drought-prone areas of Africa. This study assesses the fertilizer adoption responses of food insecure farmers in Malawi, where Drought Tolerant (DT) maize was recently introduced. A field experiment, eliciting risk...

Although substantial current account deficits can be sustained indefinitely, large deficits in goods and services trade cannot be. Even to stabilise the current account deficit, the United States must restore balance in goods and services trade within a decade or so. If this adjustment is to be...

Thomas Grennes’s letter criticizing my article, "The Unsustainability of the US Trade Deficit," fails to distinguish between the trade deficit and the current account deficit, and therefore does not respond to my argument.

Simon Grant and John Quiggin argue that taking the equity premium seriously—-the well-known fact that the average annual historical return of stocks is seven times that of government bonds and other debt-—has many implications, the most robust of which is that recessions are extremely costly...