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A school may improve its students’ job outcomes if it issues only coarse grades. Google can reduce congestion on roads by giving drivers noisy information about the state of traffic. A social planner might raise everyone's welfare by providing only partial information about solvency of banks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014104454
When analyzing a Cournot market with strictly convex costs dependent on a private information parameter, do we err more by ignoring market power or by ignoring the impact of incomplete information? Is the welfare loss at the market outcome driven by private information or by market power? The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014111388
This paper extends the standard competitive adverse selection model by allowing for qualitatively different information structures of agents on the informed side of the market. Using the stylized framework of the market for used cars, we examine the welfare properties of equilibria under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014139591
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996441
We consider two players' choice about the formation of an alliance ahead of conflict in a framework with incomplete information about the strength of co-players. When deciding on alliance formation, players anticipate the self-selection of other players and the informational value of own and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002527
Real exchange rates are highly volatile and persistent. I provide a novel structural explanation for these facts using a model with dispersed information among firms. When producers face strategic complementarities in price-setting, uncertainty about competitors' beliefs results in sluggish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965709
We analyze the Merton portfolio optimization problem when the growth rate is an unobserved Gaussian process whose level is estimated by filtering from observations of the stock price. We use the Kalman filter to track the hidden state(s) of expected returns given the history of asset prices, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972429
A principal hires an agent to acquire costly information that will influence the decision of a third party. While the realized piece of information is observable and contractible, the experimental process is not. Assuming a general family of information cost functions (inclusive of Shannon's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952218
I study general equilibrium theory with incomplete information. When agents are not fully informed, they can end up purchasing a bundle of goods that is far from optimal. General equilibrium theory falls short of providing a satisfactory explanation of the ability of real markets to deliver good...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902550
I study reputation effects under uncertain monitoring. I examine a repeated game between a long-run player and a series of short-run opponents. The long-run player can either be a strategic type or a commitment type that plays the same action in every period. The modeling innovation is that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909525