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This paper extends the work of Karni (Econ Theory 48:125–146, <CitationRef CitationID="CR3">2011</CitationRef>) to allow for the possibility that decision makers’ effect-dependent risk attitudes are also affected by their actions. This extension is essential for modeling decision situations in which actions have a monetary dimension...</citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010993527
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This paper presents a complete, choice-based, axiomatic Bayesian decision theory. It introduces a new choice set consisting of information-contingent plans for choosing actions and bets and subjective expected utility model with effect-dependent utility functions and action-dependent subjective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004981185
This paper reports the results of a series of experiments designed to test whether and to what extent individuals succumb to the conjunction fallacy. Using an experimental design of Kahneman and Tversky (1983), it finds that given mild incentives, the proportion of individuals who violate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991486
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Within the framework of expected utility theory with rank-dependent probabilities, the authors present a hypothesis concerning the shape of the probability transformation function. This hypothesis is consistent with the "preference reversals" phenomenon. In particular, it is consistent with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099487
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This article extends Karni's (1992) Utility Theory with Probability Dependent Outcome Valuation (UTP-DOV) to accommodate a wider set of preferences, and applies the new representation to a variety of decision problems under risk. First, we present a new, more general, axiomatization of UTPDOV...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067978
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In this paper, I present a Bayesian decision theory and define choice-based subjective probabilities that faithfully represent Bayesian decision makers’ prior and posterior beliefs regarding the likelihood of the possible effects contingent on his actions. I argue that no equivalent results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005585337