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Industry uncertainty networks extracted from option prices contain valuable information for business cycles. Classifying U.S. industries according to their contribution to system-related uncertainty, we uncover an uncertainty hub role for the communications, financials, IT and real estate...
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We contribute to the literature on the diversification benefits of commodity futures by integrating it with the literature on style integration. Our work augments the traditional asset mix of investors with a long-short portfolio that integrates the styles that matter to the pricing of commodity...
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The paper uses linear and nonlinear predictive models to study the linkage between a set of 128 macroeconomic and financial predictors and the risk premium of commodity futures contracts. The linear models use shrinkage methods based on either naive averaging or principal components. The...
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We find that the acquisition of private information is associated with an improvement in market liquidity. An empirical analysis of search activity through EDGAR as a proxy for information acquisition provides evidence for a theoretical gap in market microstructure models. We also find EDGAR...
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We examine the information content of managed fund ratings for Australian retail investors. Because fund ratings, premised on a quantitative-qualitative model, are highly transitory, we question whether investors formulate their investment decisions with respect to changes in ratings and whether...
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