Whilst there is increasing research attention on predicting financial distress, the existing literature is subject to two specific limitations. The first is that a firm can experience a financial distress event (e.g., loan default, bankruptcy) more than once, yet most studies that model...

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the French government notably introduced a guaranteed loan program. Firms that benefited from state guarantee schemes (SGS) should, ceteris paribus, be relatively riskier than those that did not apply for SGS, and thus default risk should be higher for the...

Purpose - This paper aims to draw from research on culture, stigma and entrepreneurial activity to hypothesize that the relationship of stigma with the level of entrepreneurial activity differs by the dimensions of national culture, i.e. individualism, masculinity, uncertainty avoidance and...

I study the impact of giant oil field discoveries on default risk. I document that interest rate spreads of emerging economies increase by 1.3 percentage points following a discovery of median size. I develop a sovereign default model with investment, three-sector production, and oil...