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On April 2, 2025, President Trump declared "Liberation Day", announcing broad tariffs to reduce trade deficits and revive U.S. industry. We analyze the long-term economic impacts of these tariffs through the lens of a trade model that features flexible tariff passthrough and endogenous trade...
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This paper develops a new risk meter specifically for China – FRM@China – to detect systemic financial risk as well as … the most popular financial risk measure, FRM@China has less noise. It also emitted a risk signature much earlier than the … CBOE FIX VIX index in the 2020 COVID pandemic. In addition, FRM@China uses a single quantile-lasso regression model to …
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