This paper proposes a model for credit default swap (CDS) spreads under heterogeneous expectations to explain the escalation in sovereign European CDS spreads and the widening variations across European sovereigns following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In our model, investors believe that...

How do traders process and learn from market information, what trading strategies should they use, and how does learning affect the market? This paper proposes a two-sided learning model of an artificial limit order market with asymmetric information to address these issues. Using a genetic...

This paper empirically estimates a heterogeneous agents model using S&P 500 data. While previous studies on heterogeneous agents models typically resort to simulation techniques, our empirical results indicate that the market is populated with fundamentalists, chartists, and noise traders. In...

Volatility swaps and variance options are financial products written on discretely sampled realized variance. Actively traded in over-the-counter markets, these products are priced often by a continuously sampled approximation to simplify the computations. This paper presents an analytical...

We provide analytic pricing formulas for Fixed and Floating Range Accrual Notes within the multi-factor Wishart affine framework which extends significantly the standard affine model. Using estimates for three short rate models, two of which are based on the Wishart process whilst the third one...

This paper introduces an easy to follow method for continuous time model estimation. It serves as an introduction on how to convert a state space model from continuous time to discrete time, how to decompose a hybrid stochastic model into a trend model plus a noise model, how to estimate the...

This paper analyzes a term structure model that allows for both stochastic correlation between underlying factors and an extended market price of risk specification. We show that significant improvement in bond fitting and portfolio performance is obtained by the model. However, the restriction...

The use of various moving average (MA) rules remains popular with financial market practitioners. These rules have recently become the focus of a number empirical studies, but there have been very few studies of financial market models where some agents employ technical trading rules of the type...

This paper examines the pricing of interest rate derivatives when the interest rate dynamics experience infrequent jump shocks modelled as a Poisson process and within the Markovian HJM framework developed in Chiarella amp; Nikitopoulos (2003). Closed form solutions for the price of a bond...

This paper seeks to estimate a multifactor volatility model so as to describe the dynamics of interest rate markets, using data from the highly liquid but short term futures markets. The difficult problem of estimating such multifactor models is resolved by using a genetic algorithm to carry out...