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We study the identification of oil shocks in a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model of the oil market. First, we show that the cross-equation restrictions of a SVAR impose a nonlinear relation between the short-run price elasticities of oil supply and oil demand. This relation implies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563138
Empirical evidence indicates that high oil price volatility has a dampening effect on output in countries that import … of commodity price volatility in commodity exporting countries accounting for both oil and non-oil commodities. To that … significant negative impact of price volatility on real output for oil exporters. Our results for exporters of other commodities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346638
We illustrate the theoretical relation among output, consumption, investment, and oil price volatility in a real … conjunction with a durable good. We estimate a stochastic volatility process for the real price of oil over the period 1986 … oil price volatility produces a temporary decrease in durable spending, while precautionary savings motives lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037191
This paper examines the dynamic connectedness among the implied volatilities of oil prices (OVX) and fourteen other assets, which can be grouped into five different assets classes (i.e., energy commodities, stock markets, precious metals, exchange rates and bond markets). To do so we estimate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293023
significant. Last but not least, we find that option-implied oil price volatility, as a measure of oil price uncertainty …, outperforms the conditional volatility of crude oil prices in predicting unemployment. This study provides valuable implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860192
measure of oil price uncertainty, namely an option-implied volatility, and a measure of macroeconomic uncertainty. Positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937163
We study the identification of oil shocks in a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model of the oil market. First, we show that the cross-equation restrictions of a SVAR impose a nonlinear relation between the short-run price elasticities of oil supply and oil demand. This relation implies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210426
oil price volatility on each sector in Japan, the world’s third-largest crude oil consumer. In order to do so, we apply a … most sectors to oil price volatility declined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014132844
oil price volatility on each sector in Japan, the world's third-largest crude oil consumer. In order to do so, we apply a … most sectors to oil price volatility declined. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305347
such as oil price volatility and the spillover of the United States stock market. Further analysis shows that this effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952089