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framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting … food crisis and 2008 financial crisis leading to the most significant shifts in the (volatility) spillovers between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010501248
This paper examines the propagation of oil price uncertainty shocks to real equity prices using a large-scale Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model of 26 advanced and emerging stock markets. The GVAR framework allows us to capture the transmission of local and global shocks, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380496
This study utilized both single-regime GARCH and double-regime GARCH models to investigate oil price volatility … volatility on these factors was examined. The empirical results confirmed the presence of the leverage effect and identified … multiple volatility switches associated with remarkable events like the GFC, the European debt crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636061
This paper explores the effect of oil price fluctuations on the stock returns of U.S. oil firms using a strategy of identification through heteroskedasticity exploiting the 2020 oil crash. Results are twofold. First, we find that a decline in oil prices statistically significantly reduces stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083040
The unparalleled surge of the crude oil price after 2003 has triggered a heated scientific and public debate about its ultimate causes. Unexpected demand growth particularly from emerging economies appears to be the most prominently supported reason among academics. We study the price dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753232
Compared with stocks, bonds are more directly affected by fluctuations in oil prices through the expected inflation component in nominal bond yields. Surprisingly, prior literature finds little predictive power of oil price changes on bond excess returns. This finding is counter intuitive,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900206
This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric relationship between oil price movements and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We propose the implementation of nonlinear vector smooth transition regression (VSTR) models which offer a greater flexibility when modelling the possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314956
This study examined the impact of oil price on African stock markets. Using quarterly data from five selected oil producing countries with stock market presence, from Q1:2010 to Q4:2018, the study deployed dynamic panel analysis technique for a model comprising stock returns, real gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104634
uncertainty, we show that besides the market return and market volatility, three disappointment-related factors are also priced: a … downstate factor, a market downside factor, and a volatility downside factor. We find that expected returns on various asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963402
The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects. We modify the … definite. Using this approach we can disentangle the estimates of the integrated co-volatility matrix and jump variations from … the co-jumps of two assets have a significant impact on future co-volatility, but that the impact is negligible for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477100