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model that divides the sample into high- and low-volatility regimes based on the variance-covariance matrix of the oil and … stock prices. We find that the high-volatility regime more frequently exists prior to the Great Depression and after the … 1973 oil price shock caused by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. The low-volatility regime occurs more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005873
volatility periods in both of them, separately. From a multivariate perspective, we do not observe a significant effect between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649469
How much does real gross domestic product (GDP) respond to unanticipated changes in the real price of oil? Commonly used censored oil price vector autore- gressive models suggest a substantial decline in real GDP in response to unex- pected increases in the real price of oil, yet no response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756396
This study investigates the responses of consumer price index (CPI) to crude oil priceshocks in the pre- and post-2008 global financial crisis. The study used the StructuralVector Autoregressive model to analyse monthly data from 2000M01 to 2019M12.The impulse response analysis showed that for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012513302
This paper uses a data set from FYROM Stock Exchange to investigate the presence of calendar effects in this recently organised equity market during the period 2002–2008. Five well known calendar effects are examined by both mean (OLS) and variance (GARCH) regressions; the day of the week...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905636
The paper tests the CAPM for the Brazilian stock market using dynamic betas. The sample involves 28 stocks included in the Ibovespa portfolio as of March 21, 2012 and that were traded during the period from Jan. 01, 1995 to March 20, 2012. Dynamic betas were estimated and conditional betas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746028
shipping sectors on the world market portfolio excess return, volatility index, and changes in the oil price, exchange rate … and are found to be significant for the volatility index, world market portfolio return, exchange rate, and changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520916
The efficient market research to date has focused mostly on the developed stock markets. To be efficient the market needs to be large and liquid, transaction costs should be cheaper than the expected investment strategy profits and Macedonian capital market as a developing market is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178440
; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Return comovement ; Volatility model evaluation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002570445
transitory components of the conditional variance exhibit several well-known peaks in volatilities; (ii) the long-run volatility … relationships are stronger than the short-run linkages volatility with a reinforcement during the post-global financial crisis …-run volatility, except for in the period after the Global Financial Crisis, where the foreign-exchange markets are the main long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965716