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This paper introduces a novel model to analyse the impact of macroeconomic shocks on volatility spillovers within key … market volatility, our study distinguishes between internal financial volatility spillovers and external shocks arising from … source of volatility spillovers, with Crude Oil being the principal spillover recipient. However, the Stock market's role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015149616
This study examines the statistical properties required to model the dynamics of both the returns and volatility series … adequately estimate long-memory dynamics in returns and volatility. The in-sample diagnostic tests as well as out … conditional volatility and strongly support the estimation of dynamic returns that allow for time-varying correlations. A …
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This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of an oil price shock in a small open industrial economy without oil resources, namely, Switzerland. First, we test whether oil price shocks Granger-cause Swiss macroeconomic variables, and use a medium-scale macroeconometric model to track the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001783595
It is customary to suggest that the asymmetry in the transmission of oil price shocks to real output is well established. Much of the empirical work cited as being in support of asymmetries, however, has not directly tested the hypothesis of an asymmetric transmission of oil price innovations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184997
In recent years, the crude oil price has risen from the $20s to the $140s. This rise is modeled using a state space regression model with time-varying beta coefficients. Explanatory variables used include days of stock cover, refinery utilization, speculative long interest and market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215210