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volatility as well as the U.S. economy. We find that - even after accounting for these factors - oil price uncertainty still has … confirms these results. Finally, significant spillover effects in the GARCH model suggest that oil price volatility is a gauge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608019
link between oil shocks and the volatility of economic growth. A new measure of oil shocks is developed and shown to be … volatility to oil price changes. Uncertainty about future growth is considerably lower compared to a benchmark AR(1) model when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114772
to changes in oil prices, after controlling for volatility and price dynamics in a multivariate GARCH context. In other … words, adjustment in mean equations is faster in the presence of positive shocks. In addition, we find that volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990701
This paper investigates the conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil returns and stock … empirical results from the VARMA-GARCH and VARMA-AGARCH models provide little evidence of volatility spillovers between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149274
The paper examines the performance of four multivariate volatility models, namely CCC, VARMA-GARCH, DCC and BEKK, for … the optimal portfolio weights of all multivariate volatility models for Brent suggest holding futures in larger … volatility model give the time-varying hedge ratios, and recommend to short in crude oil futures with a high proportion of one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149486
paper investigates the impact of EPU on the crude oil return volatility and which EPU index has the most forecasting power … the crude oil return volatility, but the effect is short-lived and the decay period is about one year. Particularly, our … results show that the US EPU index has the best forecasting power for crude oil return volatility over the long-term, whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040309
This paper investigates the empirical properties of oil price and Stock market return volatilities using a range of univariate and multivariate GARCH models and monthly data from the U.S. The study relates the period August 1987 to October 2016, a total of 351 observations given. The aim of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977192
We study the impact of oil price shocks on US stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate … stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476423
We study the effects of crude oil price shocks on the stock market volatility of the G7 economies. We rely on a … oil demand innovations have on financial volatility. We show that stock market volatility does not respond to oil supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438638
This paper investigates the time-varying conditional correlation between oil price and stock market volatility for six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910118