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This paper reinvestigates the predictability of equity market index returns of Chinese Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite index (SSEC) using the changes in oil prices. We find significant oil effect on the predictability of SSEC returns after the year 2003. The effect can neither be explained by...
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return is a significant determinant of every sector's return and/or return volatility, (iii) oil effects are asymmetric for … oil returns above and below the thresholds, (iv) asymmetry is stronger when oil return volatility is greater, (v …
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We examine the predictive value of expected skewness of oil returns for the realized volatility using monthly data from … structural breaks. In-sample results show that the predictive impact of expected skewness on realized volatility can be both … positive and negative, with these signs contingent on the quantiles of realized volatility. Moreover, we detected statistically …
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