Summary In this study, we suggest an explanation for the low growth rates of real housing prices in Canada and Germany in comparison to other OECD countries over the period 1975-2005. We show that the long-run development of housing markets is determined by real disposable per-capita income, the...

Summary This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/ forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rate in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the...

The appropriately selected leading indicators can substantially improve the forecasting of the peaks and troughs of the business cycle. Using the novel methodology of the dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching and the data for three largest European economies (France, Germany, and UK) we...

When speculative price bubbles on real estate markets burst, the results are often distortions in the real economy, associated with substantial losses in production and employment. This paper discusses the degree to which institutional frameworks can prevent speculative bubbles from forming and...

The prices and rents for flats in the most large German cities have been markedly grown in the last few years. This tendency will continue through 2013, too. Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, and Frankfurt am Main are leading in terms of growth of the home prices and rents. In these cities, the prices...

Untersuchungen über die Preise auf dem Markt für Wohnimmobilien geben in aller Regel Aufschluss über die Preise für Wohnungen in einer bestimmten Lage oder mit einer bestimmten Beschaffenheit. Das DIW Berlin hat ein Verfahren entwickelt, mit dem die Preise für verschiedenartige Wohnungen zu...

Since 2010, housing prices in Germany have been growing on average by 6 percent a year. During the same period, the rents have been increasing by 4 percent, which is significantly slower than the housing prices, but substantially faster than the consumer prices. This is one of the results of the...

The construction or expansion of an airport leads to a significant increase in aircraft noise in the surrounding area, which, in turn, results in a marked reduction in the prices of houses or apartments located under the planned flight paths. Even expectations about future noise pollution can...

Von spekulativen Übertreibungen an den Vermögensmärkten können erhebliche makroökonomische Verluste für Produktion und Beschäftigung ausgehen. Solche Entwicklungen sollten möglichst frühzeitig und verlässlich erkannt werden, um eine Gegensteuerung durch entsprechende...