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Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2011
leading indicator property is assessed with regard to forecasting industrial production in Russia and Germany. For this … forecasting performance of the leading indicators for both countries revealing marked differences between Russia and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008807367
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Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors
Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2013
-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a "data-poor environment" at the sub-national level by including more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011685344
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Lasso-type and heuristic strategies in model selection and forecasting
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2012
leading business cycle indicators in Russia and Germany. -- adaptive lasso ; elastic net ; forecasting ; genetic algorithms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630302
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Nowcasting East German GDP growth : a MIDAS approach
Claudio, João Carlos; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver - 2019
. However, official data on quarterly regional GDP in Germany are not available, and hence, regional GDP forecasts do not play …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146339
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Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors
Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2021
-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a ’data-poor environment’ at the sub-national level by including more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315852
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Heuristic Model Selection for Leading Indicators in Russia and Germany
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2012
leading indicator property is assessed with regard to forecasting industrial production in Russia and Germany. For this … forecasting performance of the leading indicators for both countries revealing marked differences between Russia and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014167877
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Text data rule - don't they? : a study on the (additional) information of Handelsblatt data for nowcasting German GDP in comparison to established economic indicators
Shrub, Yuliya; Rieger, Jonas; Müller, Henrik; Jentsch, … - 2022
The prompt availability of information on the current state of the economy in real-time is required for prediction purposes and crucial for timely policy adjustment and economic decision-making. While important macroeconomic indicators are reported only quarterly and also published with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361278
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Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting
Robinzonov, Nikolay - 2010
leading indicators and time series. In a case study for Germany, we forecast two possible representations of industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142920
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Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies
Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - 2013
The paper investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA’s regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labor market developments. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198066
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Filtering German economic conditions from a large dataset : the new DIW economic barometer
Viefers, Paul; Fichtner, Ferdinand; Junker, Simon; … - 2014
300 variables. The main methodological changes relate to (i) the estimation procedure, (ii) treatment of publication lags …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417490