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Observational records from 1950 onwards and climate projections for the 21st century provide evidence that droughts are a recurrent climate feature in large parts of Europe, especially in the Mediterranean, but also in western, south-eastern and central Europe. Trends over the past 60 years show...
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further analyses several different methods to convert the probabilistic forecasts of SPI into a Boolean drought warning. It … and correct forecasts on the other hand side, it is not yet possible to quantify the uncertainty of the drought forecasts. …
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