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We employ a wavelet approach and conduct a time-frequency analysis of dynamic correlations between pairs of key traded assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily data. We show that heterogeneity in correlations...
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bubbles. By using the formalism of dynamical system theory, we explain what drives the bubbles and how foreshocks or … rationalises the log-periodic power law singularity pattern documented in many historical financial bubbles. The notion of ‘ghosts …
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I develop a new method for approximating and estimating nonlinear, non-Gaussian state space models. I show that any such model can be well approximated by a discrete-state Markov process and estimated using techniques developed in Hamilton (1989). Through Monte Carlo simulations, I demonstrate...
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