A "stalling" economy has been defined as one that experiences a discrete deterioration in economic performance following a decline in its growth rate to below some threshold level. Previous efforts to identify stalls have focused primarily on the US economy, with the threshold level being chosen...

Low positive GDP growth has been interpreted as evidence that the economy may be "stalling", implying that low growth is a strong predictor of future recessions. We examine the empirical evidence for stalling based on kernel density estimates, probit estimates and Markov switching models....

A 'stalling' economy has been defined as one that experiences a discrete deterioration in economic performance following a decline in its growth rate to below some threshold level. We examine the international evidence for stalling in a panel of 51 economies using two different definitions of a...

This paper estimates the degree of wage and price flexibility of the Hong Kong economy with the use of a stylised dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model developed for the Hong Kong economy. It also studies the factors contributing to deflation in Hong Kong following the Asian...

We demonstrate the important implications of the assumptions of discrete time in many sticky price models of the macroeconomy. For a given level of menu costs, discrete time models imply longer average contract length but smaller real effects of both trend inflation and monetary shocks than...

Between the fourth quarter of 2008 and the end of 2009, the strong-side Convertibility Undertaking was triggered repeatedly with remarkable capital inflows into the Hong Kong dollar. In view of this development, this paper proposes an analytical framework to understand the relationship between a...

This paper extends the single-asset target-zone model pioneered by Krugman (1991) to include both bonds and equities. The new model provides a convenient framework for investigating a 'puzzle' recently noted in Hong Kong. While the economy has experienced persistently lower interest rates...

This article investigates the dynamics of correlation between 11 Asian stock markets and the US stock market. By utilizing the method of 'principal components', we identify a single latent factor that can explain a major portion of variation in the weekly returns of these 11 markets from 1993 to...