Die europäischen Fiskalregeln - wichtiger Eckpfeiler der Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion - stehen in der Kritik und sollen reformiert werden. Einerseits wird argumentiert, dass sie zu restriktiv und angesichts eines steigenden öffentlichen Investitionsbedarfes nicht mehr zeitgemäß seien....

Im Euroraum wird die Einführung eines digitalen Euro bereits seit Längerem diskutiert. Die Untersuchungsphase der Europäischen Zentralbank lief bereits seit Oktober 2021 und ging im Oktober 2023 in eine Vorbereitungsphase über. In anderen Ländern wird digitales Zentralbankgeld bereits...

The Federal Reserve has been publishing federal funds rate prescriptions from Taylor rules in its Monetary Policy Report since 2017. The signals from the rules aligned with Fed action on many occasions, but in some cases the Fed opted for a different route. This paper reviews the implications of...

This paper assesses the possible development of government interest expenditures for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. Until 2021, governments could anticipate a substantial further reduction in interest expenditure. This outlook has changed drastically with the surge in inflation and government...

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, the state of macroeconomic modeling and the use of macroeconomic models in policy analysis has come under heavy criticism. Macroeconomists in academia and policy institutions have been blamed for relying too much on a particular class of...

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis and great recession, many countries face substantial deficits and growing debts. In the United States, federal government outlays as a ratio to GDP rose substantially from about 19.5 percent before the crisis to over 24 percent after the crisis. In...

In this paper, we provide some reflections on the development of monetary theory and monetary policy over the last 150 years. Rather than presenting an encompassing overview, which would be overambitious, we simply concentrate on a few selected aspects that we view as milestones in the...

The complexity resulting from intertwined uncertainties regarding model misspecification and mismeasurement of the state of the economy defines the monetary policy landscape. Using the euro area as laboratory this paper explores the design of robust policy guides aiming to maintain stability in...

In this study, we perform a quantitative assessment of the role of money as an indicator variable for monetary policy in the euro area. We document the magnitude of revisions to euro area-wide data on output, prices, and money, and find that monetary aggregates have a potentially significant...