Much of the information communicated by central banks is noisy or imperfect. This paper considers the potential benefits and limitations of central bank communications in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning. It is shown that the value of communicating imperfect information is ambiguous....

The postponement of a reform program recognized to be necessary to control inflation is examined as a decision in an optimal control framework. With a deteriorating and increasingly costlier inflation, it is found that reforms are both more likely to be implemented and more likely to fail as...

This paper examines the implications of family size heterogeneity for Ricardian households and employs survey data to determine whether or not individual household preferences towards taxation conform to the Ricardian model. Using a dynastic model of intergenerational linkages, we show that the...

This paper develops and estimates a Quadratic-Gaussian model of the U.S. term structure that can accommodate the rich dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and incorporating survey information on inflation...

The ECB is the most important institution for the success of the EMU. It started successfully but the crisis revealed weaknesses related to the incomplete nature of the EMU.The ECB was too timid in using its power, which deepened the euro crisis and led to divergences that threaten the viability...

We exploit data on historical revisions to real-time estimates of the output gap to examine the implications of measurement error for the design of monetary policy, using the Federal Reserve's model of the U.S. economy, FRB/US. Measurement error brings about a substantial deterioration in...

A monetary policy strategy that keeps inflation expectations solidly anchored in line with a clearly communicated definition of price stability supports the achievement of both price stability and economic activity goals. Providing an enduring nominal anchor succeeds in taming inflation scares...

Comparing and contrasting the Fed’s and ECB’s policy responses to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic highlights the importance of the fiscal dimension of monetary policy and the pitfalls that can arise when the synergy of fiscal and monetary policy is neglected...

We examine the performance and robustness properties of monetary policy rules in an estimated macroeconomic model in which the economy undergoes structural change and where private agents and the central bank possess imperfect knowledge about the true structure of the economy. Policymakers...