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This paper examines the linkages between the trade of goods and financial assets. Do both flows behave as complements (implying a positive correlation) or as substitutes (negative correlation)? Although a classic topic in international macroeconomics, the empirical evidence has remained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011918981
Is the Euro area as a whole, or are individual Euro-area member countries facing a period of sustained lower economic growth, a phenomenon known as secular stagnation? We tackle this question by estimating equilibrium real interest rates and comparing them to actual real rates. Since the...
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This paper explores the extent to which changes to long-term interest rates in major advanced economies have influenced long-term government bond yields in Emerging Asia. To gauge long-term interest spillover effects, the paper uses VAR variance decompositions with high frequency data. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691545
Building on the growing evidence on the importance of large data sets for empirical macroe-conomic modeling, we estimate a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks and check whether the signs, the magnitude, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691548
This paper estimates the role of policy and exchange rate uncertainty shocks for EU countries' exports to the world economy. We examine the performance of the four biggest economies, namely Germany, France, Italy and the UK, under policy and exchange rate uncertainty in ex-ports to some of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691584
This paper reviews cases of successful price and wage adjustment, which are often regarded as constituting best practice, - Australia, Latvia and the German new states and contrasts them with the Greek experience under the Troika Programs. Latvia stands out as having had the quickest adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691586