Showing 31 - 40 of 523
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002094768
This paper discusses model based inference in an autoregressive model for fractional processes based on the Gaussian likelihood. We consider the likelihood and its derivatives as stochastic processes in the parameters, and prove that they converge in distribution when the errors are i.i.d. with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217069
We extend the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH (FIEGARCH) model for daily stock return data with long memory in return volatility of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) by introducing a possible volatility-in-mean effect. To avoid that the long memory property of volatility carries over to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217107
The functioning of electricity markets has experienced increasing complexity as a result of deregulation in recent years. Consequently this affects the multilateral price behaviour across regions with physical exchange of power. It has been documented elsewhere that features such as long memory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217217
We propose a semiparametric local polynomial Whittle with noise (LPWN) estimator of the memory parameter in long memory time series perturbed by a noise term which may be serially correlated. The estimator approximates the spectrum of the perturbation as well as that of the short-memory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217542
We provide a fast algorithm for calculating the fractional difference of a time series. In standard implementations, the calculation speed (number of arithmetic operations) is of order T^2, where T is the length of the time series. Our algorithm allows calculation speed of order T log T. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014157659
We introduce a multivariate Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test for fractional integration. We derive and analyze the LM statistic and show that it is asymptotically chi-squared distributed under local alternatives, and that, under Gaussianity, the LM test is asymptotically efficient against local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101559
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013534577
We consider model based inference in a fractionally cointegrated (or cofractional) vector autoregressive model based on the conditional Gaussian likelihood. The model allows the process X(t) to be fractional of order d and cofractional of order d-b; that is, there exist vectors β for which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143144
In an important generalization of zero frequency autoregressive unit root tests, Hylleberg, Engle, Granger, and Yoo (1990) developed regression-based tests for unit roots at the seasonal frequencies in quarterly time series. We develop likelihood ratio tests for seasonal unit roots and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153597