Main description: Portfolio risk forecasting has been and continues to be an active research field for both academics and practitioners. Almost all institutional investment management firms use quantitative models for their portfolio forecasting, and researchers have explored models' econometric...

Wrong way risk can be incorporated in Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) calculations in a reduced form model. Hull and White (2012) introduced a CVA model that captures wrong way risk by expressing the stochastic intensity of a counterparty's default time in terms of the financial institution's...

We discuss a practical and effective extension of portfolio risk management and construction best practices to account for extreme events. The central element of the extension is (expected) shortfall, which is the expected loss given that a value-at-risk limit is breached. Shortfall is the most...

We gauge the return-generating potential of four investment strategies: value weighted, 60/40 fixed mix, unlevered and levered risk parity. We have three main findings. First, even over periods lasting decades, the start and end dates of a backtest can have a material effect on results; second,...

Climate change has far-reaching implications for the global economy and is increasingly being recognized by investors as a long-term investment theme. As more investors take note of companies that are well positioned to handle climate change, a common factor may account, in part, for the share...

Recent studies in financial economics posit a connection between a gross prof- itability strategy and quality investing. We explore this connection with two widely used factor models. The first is the four-factor Fama-French-Carhart model, which is a mainstay of empirical research in academia....

Tax-loss harvesting can improve the after-tax returns of factor-tilted strategies. In an empirical study of global and US strategies, we found that the tax alpha generated by harvesting losses augmented the return premium, or factor alpha, in six factor-tilted strategies.- The annual tax alpha...

Endowments, foundations and individual investors considering the divestment of carbon industries need to know the potential impact on risk and return. In this paper, we analyze the cost of divesting from broad market indices. Our key findings are:• Optimized carbon-free portfolios closely...