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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005419746
In this paper we use a simultaneous equations model to examine the relationship between analysts' forecasting decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005402009
To date, an operational measure of systemic risk capturing non-linear tail comovement between system-wide and individual bank returns has not yet been developed. This paper proposes an extension of the so-called CoVaR measure that captures the asymmetric response of the banking system to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142002
Currency mismatches in corporate balance sheets have been singled out as an important factor underlying the severity of recent financial crises. We propose several structural models for measuring default risk for firms with currency mismatches in their asset/liability structure. The proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826571
. This result is partly due to the 'average' nature of the RMSE metric: when forecasting ability is assessed as if in real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540921
We develop a methodology to study how the subprime crisis spills over to the real economy. Does it manifest itself primarily through reducing consumer demand or through tightening liquidity constraint on non-financial firms? Since most non-financial firms have much larger cash holding than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264107
This paper characterizes the term structure of Treasury bond yields for Brazil, and estimates a Nelson-Siegel Model to reproduce its stylized facts for the period 2004-2010. For this purpose, this paper uses a software developed by Fund staff. In addition, the paper estimates two versions of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147330
Non-bank financial institutions, such as principal-trading firms and hedge funds, increasingly compete with bank-owned dealers in fixed-income markets. Some market participants worry that if non-bank financial institutions push out established bank dealers, liquidity will become unreliable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015209798
We provide empirical evidence of the causal effects of changes in financial intermediaries' net worth on the aggregate economy. Our strategy identifies financial shocks as high-frequency changes in the market value of intermediaries' net worth in a narrow window around their earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013396507
Our study examines the dynamic relationship between financial development and environmental degradation in the European Union (EU) in a panel VAR (Vector Autoregressive) methodological framework over the period 1996-2018. Panel causality tests and impulse response functions show that financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014461934