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The discontinuities at zero in the frequency distributions of reported net income (deflated by beginning-of-period market capitalization), deflated change in net income, I/B/E/S quot;actualquot; earnings, and analysts' forecast errors are the most widely cited evidence of earnings management. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012737322
We develop and implement a method for comparing the measurement error in estimates of the expected rate of return on equity. We combine the Campbell [1991] and Vuolteenaho [2002] return decomposition with the econometric method described in Garber and Klepper [1980] and Barth [1991] to infer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739475
I describe a model of earnings and earnings growth and I demonstrate how this model may be used to obtain estimates of the expected rate of return on equity capital. These estimates are compared with estimates of the expected rate of return implied by commonly used heuristics - viz., the PEG...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739594
The PE ratio divided by the short-term earnings growth rate (the PEG ratio) is often used to rank stocks. This ranking implicitly assumes that earnings growth will not change beyond the (short) earnings forecast horizon. I provide a means of simultaneously estimating the expected rate of return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012741456
We invert the residual income valuation model (using current stock prices, current book value of equity and short-term forecasts of accounting earnings) to obtain an estimate of the expected rate of return for a portfolio of stocks. Our approach is analogous to the estimation of the internal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012743125
We document that: (1) the incidence of bond trade increases during the days surrounding earnings announcements; (2) there is a bond-price reaction to the announcement of earnings; and (3) there is a positive association between annual bond returns and both annual changes in earnings and annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012713776
We document that: (1) the incidence of bond trade increases during the days surrounding earnings announcements; (2) there is a bond-price reaction to the announcement of earnings; and (3) there is a positive association between annual bond returns and both annual changes in earnings and annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721294
The nature of the data we usually encounter in market-based accounting research is such that the results of the regression of market capitalization on financial statement data are driven by a relatively small subset of the very largest firms in the sample. We refer to this overwhelming influence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732393
I describe a model of earnings and earnings growth and I demonstrate how this model may be used to obtain estimates of the expected rate of return on equity capital. These estimates are compared with estimates of the expected rate of return implied by commonly used heuristics - viz., the PEG...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786430
The focus of this discussion is on the possible effects of scale in regressions that have price (or value) per share as the dependent variable. My argument rests on the fact that this dependent variable may reflect no more than the choice by management of the number of shares outstanding....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012789912