This paper investigates the predictive power for future domestic economic activity included in domestic stock prices, using a Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain. We are able to evaluate whether the predictive power is concentrated at the slowly fluctuating components or at the...

This paper analyzes impulse response functions of vector autoregression models for variables that are linearly transformed. These impulse responses are equal to the linear transformation of the original impulse responses only if the shocks are equal to the linear transformation of the original...

This paper compares Bayesian estimators with different prior choices for the time variation of the coefficients of Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression models using Monte Carlo Simulations. Since the commonly used prior choice only allows for a tiny amount of time variation, less...

This paper investigates the predictive power for the future domestic economic activity included in the domestic stock prices, using a Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain. We are able to evaluate whether the predictive power is concentrated at the slowly fluctuating components or...