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We assess the causes and implications of the greater financial participation in commodity markets post-2003. Focusing on crude oil, we build a calibrated macro-finance model of oil prices and quantities that also determines consumer welfare. We show that shifts in the preferences and constraints...
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The global economy is highly dependent on commodity prices, which are, by and large, the outcome of market-specific supply and demand fundamentals. As a result, driven by different determinants, financial assets and commodity prices should be negligibly correlated. However, systematically...
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This report provides an analysis of the financilization process on the commodity market. Methods of analysis include linear regression between prices and amount invested for each commodity using the CFTC Swap Dealer Report, own simulations on portfolios composed of commodities, values at risk,...
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Investors are constantly looking at diversification of risks by combining equities with other assets in their portfolio. Apart from fixed income securities and real estate related instruments, commodities are also being increasingly used as a portfolio diversification strategy. But the...
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The basic theory of price formation tells us how the price of a particular asset will change based on the adjustment to its supply and demand. However, values of assets are also determined by other business fundamentals, company's and world events, human psychology, and investors' belief about...
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